Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Baez's second serve win rate over the past six months is 45.76%, slightly lower than Draper's 46.11%. How much does this difference impact match outcomes? Historically, it has a notable influence.
• When returning opponents' second serves, Baez has won 46.72% of points compared to Draper's 44.31%. Baez appears stronger in return games.
• For first serve returns, Baez has an edge, winning 33.66% against Draper's 23.41%. Is this a decisive factor? It strongly favors Baez.
• Under pressure, Draper excels by saving 59.63% of breakpoints, outperforming Baez who saves 51.31%.
• Draper's overall match win rate over the last year is 73.44%, noticeably higher than Baez's 47.06%.
• Surface preference highlights Baez’s proficiency on clay with a 70% win rate, whereas Draper thrives on indoor hard courts with a 74% win rate.
• Draper has a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record against Baez, winning every set played between them.
• Baez competes on the Main tour with a 60.71% win rate, while Draper has been successful in 74.07% of his matches on the Masters series.
• Competing against tougher opponents, Draper faces players with an average rank of 44.8 compared to Baez's 82.82.
• In matches extending to a deciding set, Draper wins 71% of the time, a significant advantage over Baez's 42% success rate.
• On break point opportunities, Baez has recently converted 35.34%, marginally better than Draper's 30.46% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Baez and Draper promises to be closely contested, but some factors tip the scales.

Draper has demonstrated superior performance under pressure and has a strong head-to-head record against Baez, never losing a set to him. His higher win rates both recently and throughout the previous year suggest a slight edge.

While Baez shows strength in return games, Draper's ability to save breakpoints and win deciding sets gives him a tactical advantage. Given these considerations, Jack Draper is most likely to win the upcoming tennis match.